MODELING VARIATION IN SEASONAL WATER LEVELS OF BAUCHI TOWNSHIP RESERVOIR

Abstract

Inadequate of potable water and its likely poor quality have been man’s age big problem. In Bauchi Township the main source of water supply is through Gubi dam, though the available water in the dam varies in quantity and quality due to seasonal changes. This research was carried out to establish the relationship between reservoir water level in Gubi dam and rainfall, temperature, evaporation, relative humidity and wind speed in Bauchi., using data from meteorological records in Bauchi and Gubi dam water supply from the period 1997 to 2003. The study was carried out using software package known as Polymath Polynomial, statistica and Mini-Tab R14, employing multiple regression analysis.. The result of the analysis gave high value of the multiple regressions coefficient R of 0.827377 for the dependent variable Y with the independent variable X close to 1. This shows that the relationship is positively significant between the dependent variable Y with the independent variable X. Similarly this high value of R also indicated that the dependent variable Y with the independent variable X are correlated.